Yooooo I Have Literally Nothing To Add Other Than The Fact That This Analysis And Theory Is One Of The

yooooo i have literally nothing to add other than the fact that this analysis and theory is one of the best i’ve ever seen in my life, *chefs kiss*

OKAY OKAY OKAY  SO

NEW THOUGHT!!! WHAT IF THE PRISON IS FOR TOMMY???

STICK WITH ME HERE AND STRAP IN BOYS I’M USING MY BRAINCELLS FOR THIS ONE

(tw for suicide/mentions of suicide and manipulation!!)

So!!!! What do we know about this prison? It’s nearly impossible to escape from given the incredibly complex system (we appreciate Sam in this house) that it’s apart of. We’re talking:

Teleporting guards

A card system 

A sole portal exit/entrance 

Miner fatigued obsidian blocks 

And probably even more

It’s been said that this prison was made for someone really capable, which has led a lot of people to think it could be for Techno, Philza, or even Dream himself. 

But, thinking about it, what has been Dream’s priority lately?  Tommy. 

Making sure he has control over Tommy.  Tommy’s been in exile for a bit more than a week now and undoubtedly the person who’s kept him company the most would be Dream, and it shows. Tommy’s aggressive, confident exterior has sort of melted away since Dream’s been there. He went from adamantly fighting back against Dream burning his things to willingly giving his armor to him before even being asked.  When Tommy was saying he didn’t have any friends left, Dream popped in saying how he was still there.  When Tommy had his beach party, Dream was the only person to show up, making Tommy even trust him even more.  But why put in all the effort?

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Yeah, I'm really interested to see what Dreams response is. I think it's interesting that he's said that he is planning on hiring actual mathematicians. If that actually happens I think it'll be interesting what they find. Also, I'm not entirely sure who did the math for the speedrun verification team, at first it seemed like they did it themselves but they've since said that "verifiers hold no part in the Dream investigation."

Honestly my biggest problem with the investigation though still has nothing to do with the numbers; no other 16th place run would be treated like this and regardless of the result I think the investigation was brought on by the speedrun community not liking Dream. (Although I also don't like the argument that being too lucky means cheating, largely because then there needs to be a way to decide if someone is cheating vs. just getting lucky)

i’m definitely excited for what he plans, as in the discord he did say he would have irrevocable evidence! if that’s true, hopefully this can be all resolved like adults.

on the topic of it being a 16th place run, they started this investigation when it was number 5 on the leaderboards, so i can see why they’d investigate it when the pearl drops were dropped into conversation (however because of the bias i’ve seen in the discord from general dislike of dream it’s hard to believe that at least some of the mods or verifiers haven’t developed this dislike from the constant words said against him. environment is a tool to the perspective of man, after all). it being dragged out for this long is kinda crazy to me but i’m assuming it’s because they had to sift through hours of livestreams.

too lucky for it to be possible is kind of a strange argument when you really think about it, because the probability is still there, but i guess the argument exists because of the numbers being so high and damnable for the opposite party.

all we gotta do is wait, and i’m hoping it’s resolved without too much insulting and rudeness from either side :D

I AM TALKING ABOUT THE NEWS OF DREAM’S SPEEDRUN AND ITS ILLEGITIMACY AS DECLARED BY THE VERIFIERS: MORE SO, WHY EXACTLY DREAM IS SO ANGRY ABOUT IT

i don’t think it’s really about the run being taken down tbh (like come ON. 14th place? not worth).

if i were called a cheater and then with no warning from the mods of the discord to be prepared for any backlash, have a 30 page potentially biased paper (purely from their usage of pronouns like we, you, us, etc that is frowned upon for statistical analysis papers they claimed it was, i can’t do math so i’m looking purely on the written side of things) and a video posted about me, i would be pissed as well.

the entire conduct of the mod and verifier teams throughout this ordeal has been questionable, but both sides have been increasingly childish and need to behave like the adults i assume they are

i don’t think dream has a motive to cheat because he has a huge standing in social media and is basically minecraft king right now, so i’m siding with him for now because there is no undeniable proof of the cheating despite the fact he literally live-streamed the run, but i’m subject to change my opinion if further evidence comes about :)

okay as much as i love the number meanings, this one is straight up bullshit lmfao

AHHHHHH ALL I FEEL IS FEAR FOR THE FUTURE

Wow I don't like the sound of THAT

THERE ARE GOING TO BE AN UNGODLY AMOUNT OF SCREENSHOTS. IF YOU DON’T CARE ABOUT THE DREAM SPEEDRUN DRAMA, YOU’RE BETTER OFF SCROLLING PAST, BECAUSE IT’S A LOT OF INFORMATION THAT REQUIRES THE GENERAL CONTEXT OF THE SITUATION

hi!! so i’ve taken some screenshots of the speedrunning discord in the interest of showing the toxicity i have seen in chat. i will also be including the screenshots of mods who were actually trying to stop the conversation because it was getting way out of hand.

dream’s messages in screenshots will also be mentioned after the toxicity and mods in the beginning.

this is an analysis of the toxicity and mod response as well as an analysis on the conversation that took place with dream.

also, small note: i will be using gender neutral pronouns for everyone mentioned in this discussion aside from dream, as we are aware of what he prefers :)

i am going to state this now that every single one of these screenshots was taken on december fourteenth, 2020 somewhere between 9:30 am and 11 am in the PST timezone:

this is just blatant hatred and toxicity. i don’t have to explain it because it’s very visible.

Mango is both a verifier and mod, and is seen actively trying to end the conversation and toxicity about dream, as it was completely flooding the general chat of the discord. i’m fairly sure the night before, general was locked about 2-3 times due to the spam and toxicity.

CasseBot as you will see later on in the screenshots, is also both a verifier and mod, and the screenshot above me is definitely a statement done in poor taste and uncalled for. however, in the screenshot below, you can see them reprimanding and handing out warnings to end the conversation about dream as well as the toxicity. the statement above was unnecessary, but they were actively trying to end conversation.

now, i will be sharing screenshots of the messages dream sent to the #coding-math channel in the discord, i am apologizing in advance for the pure amount of screenshots, but i was trying to capture the entire conversation, and i left out as many side conversations unrelated to what they were talking about as i could.

i am not blurring names here as it would be very difficult to follow the conversation, and the names are relevant to who is saying what to understand when certain people are talking at once. it should also be noted that these people were very calm in their discussion to dream, and there was no yelling or blatant calling him a cheater, which is a win in my book because it points toward an actually intelligent conversation

every single one of these screenshots was taken on december fourteenth, 2020 somewhere between 9:30 am and 11 am in the PST timezone:

the conversation in the beginning starts out incredibly calm, civil, and dare i say it, wholesome, as everyone taking part in the conversation at this point was genuinely helping dream find the files he needed from his world files in the version folder

the screenshot above is a closeup of the image seen in the screenshot before it!!

i’m not sure exactly what the eclipse directory is, but if someone is willing to explain it, feel free :)

aadil is an average community member of the server (not a mod or verifier!!), and can be seen supposedly very confrontational and flippant of certain evidence, though this is due to the wording of their messages, as they quickly corrected themselves below

Kohru here mentions being able to hide different ways to do the same thing dream is being accused of, however does not send anything due to the fact that they likely don’t actually know. i state this because they use an argument a few screenshots ahead saying they could “get [their] mom to do it” which is an argument that isn’t actually professional to what they’re discussing, however this could be due to the time that these messages took place.

this is where you can see dream start to get a little frustrated through his sarcasm and wording of the statement, but he is still remaining otherwise civil in the conversation, and those having the conversation (aside from a few choice reactions to things he sent as messages including flipping off emojis and a clown emoji) with dream were also being reasonable debaters and relatively non-toxic.

ImZaJojoReference (an average community member, not a mod or verifier!!) states “evidence” claiming anything dream will put forward will be fake, but then does not produce anything else to the conversation of note that could explain why they believe this.

we’ve seen dream admit this many times that he does not have the knowledge in math nor statistics to be able to accurately debate this data, which is the reason for his hiring of staticians to help him in his own investigation and defense of himself. he states he has several, so again, i’m excited for the outcome because maybe the situation would finally get resolved!

throughout this entire conversation, i noticed that Kohru, an average community member (not a mod or verifier!!) was very confrontational in their statements to dream, though i will attribute this behavior to the timestamps of the messages, as it’s so early in the morning (in my timezone at least. this could be fundamentally flawed).

these are all the screenshots i took from the Minecraft Java Edition Speedrun discord, and i hope i grabbed enough screenshots to remain primarily unbiased to both sides of the argument, but i can conclude that most of my perceived bias will be dragged from how i brought up toxicity, and how i was glad it was being taken care of.

if you made it all the way through, thanks for listening to my rambles in between, and i hope this provides information for people who aren’t in the discord, or are generally confused on the dynamic dream holds with the speedrun community. the #general chat is mainly just completely toxic, and there are a few of dream’s defenders in there, but they get almost immediately shot down because of their like of him. this means that many of the people against dream aren’t truly listening to other sides of the argument (not including the many screenshots i provided of the more level-headed members of the discord). dream’s rebuttal will likely bring forward new information, and though a lot of it will be ignored by this community because of their almost pure hatred for the guy, it will be everyone’s decision to make up their own opinions on the subject.

taking information from many different sources and making sure you take in both sides of the story is very important to making an informed decision on the matter at hand. i hope these screenshots of the conversation made information a little more digestible due to its casual and lax nature

I AM NOT ADVOCATING FOR THE SENDING OF HATE TO THESE CHOSEN PEOPLE. I HAVE BLOCKED OUT THE NAMES OF THOSE ACTING TOXIC BECAUSE I KNOW HOW THE COMMUNITY IS. TOXICITY IS NOT A WAY TO DECIDE IF A PERSON IS BAD BECAUSE IN ALL LIKELIHOOD, THOSE PEOPLE WERE UNDER 18 AND THUS CHILDREN. EVEN IF THEY WERE ADULTS, SENDING HATE AND DEATH THREATS MAKES YOU JUST AS BAD AS THEM.

if you send hate to the mods or the people having genuine discussion with dream, i don’t know what else to tell you other than you’re an idiot. because those people were pretty much the nicest people on the server.

thanks for reading, hope you have a good day!!!